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TSA 2015 · Question 22 · Parallel Reasoning

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Adding fluoride to the water supply would not, as some claim, improve dental health. If fluoride really did improve dental health, one would expect people living in areas where water is naturally fluoridated to have healthier teeth than people whose water is fluoride free. In fact, research suggests that there is no difference in dental health between the two groups.

Which one of the following most closely parallels the reasoning used in the above argument?